Sunday, March 16, 2014

The Mystery Continues

Let me begin by saying it's not possible to keep a secret in this world.  That's becoming evident with the Malaysian government's seemingly lame attempts to dribble information out over the course of a week. I guess the fact that they have very little and/or poor military radar capabilities isn't something to be broadcast, but still ...where they really thinking this would remain confidential ?

The improbable answers to what has happened to MH370 that I wrote about last week are starting to look very credible. (See post below this one).  The fact the aircraft hasn't been found suggests a few other things however, notwithstanding it's 6-7 hours in the air.  A 777-200 is 209 feet long, and 200 feet wide. It's almost 61 feet tall.  Hiding this thing, from the prying silent eyes of spy satellites if it's on land after touching down somewhere, would be REALLY HARD.  Firstly, you need a runway at least 3500-4000 feet long, and that assumes a perfect landing, very little remaining fuel, dry conditions and no tailwind.  Landing is a tricky business and in the normal commercial aviation world, the rule is the aircraft's stopping distance must be no more than 60% of the runway length, which translates to close to a 7000 foot runway (1.5miles / almost 2kms).  How many of these are there within the flight range of MH370...not too high a number.  Then you'd need a serious big hanger to hide the aircraft. The list whittles down again.  The reason for the interest ?  Those counties that own spy satellites notoriously distrust this region of the world, and will be keen to look for state involvement in this little caper.

What's more likely..?  It splashed down somewhere where no one is looking today, on purpose, out of gas, or maybe as a result of a struggle for control.

Big conspiracy theories are always fun to discuss, but we do run into that core thing once more - no one can really keep a secret.


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